Modena vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modena vs Catanzaro?
On Elo ratings, Modena has 1,887 points and Catanzaro 1,858.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modena vs Catanzaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 98N. Mosti
- 30G. Alesi
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 62R. Frosinini
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 3M. Imperiale
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Modena have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Modena wins, 2 draws, 2 Catanzaro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Catanzaro 2-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Modena 1-2 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Modena 2-1 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Catanzaro 2-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Modena 1-3 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Catanzaro 1-2 Modena | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Catanzaro | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modena sit 3rd in Serie B (13 points from 6 matches) and Catanzaro sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Modena vs Catanzaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modena vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Modena vs Catanzaro played?
- Modena vs Catanzaro is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Braglia, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.