San Carlos vs CS Cartagines: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
The Footlab model makes CS Cartagines the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Carlos vs CS Cartagines?
CS Cartagines starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Carlos have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; CS Cartagines have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Carlos win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 CS Cartagines win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines 2-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2026 | San Carlos 1-1 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2025 | CS Cartagines 2-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2025 | San Carlos 0-2 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2025 | San Carlos 1-2 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CS Cartagines 2-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: CS Cartagines vs San Carlos on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CS Cartagines score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| CS Cartagines | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Carlos sit 6th in Primera División (6 points from 5 matches) and CS Cartagines sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CS Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Carlos vs CS Cartagines?
- The Footlab model makes CS Cartagines the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is San Carlos vs CS Cartagines played?
- San Carlos vs CS Cartagines is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.