Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Ángel Lito Pérez Treacy, Puntarenas
The Footlab model makes Puntarenas FC the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Municipal Liberia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia?
Municipal Liberia starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puntarenas FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Municipal Liberia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puntarenas FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Municipal Liberia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Puntarenas FC 0-1 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 1-4 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 0-0 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 0-3 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 1-1 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 2-0 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puntarenas FC score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal Liberia score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas FC | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Municipal Liberia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia?
- The Footlab model makes Puntarenas FC the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Municipal Liberia.
- Where and when is Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia played?
- Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Ángel Lito Pérez Treacy, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.