San Martín vs Colunga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Florán, San Martín del Rey Aurelio
The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Colunga. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Martín wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín vs Colunga?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate San Martín (1,654) and Colunga (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Martín vs Colunga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Colunga
Not enough data to predict the Colunga lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Colunga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Andes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Condal(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 5-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Martín win, 3 draws, 2 Colunga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Colunga 2-3 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | San Martín 1-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 11, 2025 | San Martín 0-3 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Colunga 2-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 30, 2022 | San Martín 1-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Colunga 1-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Colunga vs San Martín on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colunga score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Colunga | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Colunga sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
A question about San Martín vs Colunga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín vs Colunga?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Colunga.
- Where and when is San Martín vs Colunga played?
- San Martín vs Colunga is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Florán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.