San Roque Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Lepe, Lepe
The Footlab model makes San Roque Lepe the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Xerez Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Roque Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate San Roque Lepe (1,736) and Xerez Deportivo (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Roque Lepe have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Xerez Deportivo have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Córdoba II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conil(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 San Roque Lepe win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Xerez Deportivo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Xerez Deportivo 1-1 San Roque Lepe | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | San Roque Lepe 1-1 Xerez Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 15, 2022 | Xerez Deportivo 0-1 San Roque Lepe | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | San Roque Lepe 4-2 Xerez Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 16, 2021 | San Roque Lepe 2-1 Xerez Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 5, 2021 | Xerez Deportivo 1-1 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Xerez Deportivo vs San Roque Lepe on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
San Roque Lepe score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez Deportivo score 0.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Roque Lepe | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Xerez Deportivo | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | San Roque Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Roque Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo?
- The Footlab model makes San Roque Lepe the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Xerez Deportivo.
- Where and when is San Roque Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo played?
- San Roque Lepe vs Xerez Deportivo is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Lepe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.