Conil vs Ceuta II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, Conil de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ceuta II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conil vs Ceuta II?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Conil (1,744) and Ceuta II (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conil vs Ceuta II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conil
Not enough data to predict the Conil lineup.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conil have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Ceuta II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Conil wins, 1 draw, 5 Ceuta II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II 3-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ceuta II 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Conil 0-2 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ceuta II 2-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Conil 0-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Conil 0-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Conil score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ceuta II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conil | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ceuta II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conil sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (6 points from 6 matches) and Ceuta II sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ceuta II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Conil | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Conil vs Ceuta II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conil vs Ceuta II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ceuta II.
- Where and when is Conil vs Ceuta II played?
- Conil vs Ceuta II is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.