Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu: prediction and stats
J-League CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on August 12, 2020 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sagan Tosu have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2020 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 5, 2020 | Consadole Sapporo(away) | 1-2 | J-League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Yokohama FC(away) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2020 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2020 | Kashima(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 5, 2020 | Yokohama FC(home) | 0-1 | J-League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2020 | FC Tokyo(away) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sagan Tosu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2020 | Sagan Tosu 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Sagan Tosu 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| May 17, 2019 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Sagan Tosu | J1 League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Sagan Tosu 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu | J1 League |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Sagan Tosu | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Sagan Tosu vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Jul 12, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sagan Tosu score 0.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sagan Tosu | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J-League Cup (9 points from 6 matches) and Sagan Tosu sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy