Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,088) and Vissel Kobe (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Urawa(away) | 4-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026FC TokyovsKawasaki Frontale
- Dec 5, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Dec 5, 2026V-varen NagasakivsShimizu S-pulse
- Dec 5, 2026UrawavsNagoya Grampus
- Dec 5, 2026Cerezo OsakavsMito Hollyhock
- Dec 5, 2026Gamba OsakavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Dec 5, 2026JEF United ChibavsKashima
- Dec 5, 2026Machida ZelviavsFagiano Okayama