Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Kashala Bonzola, Mbuji-Mayi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 61%, against 28% for a draw and 11% for Sanga Balende. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,948 Elo points against 1,541, a 406-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanga Balende
Not enough data to predict the Sanga Balende lineup.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 37P. Mwamba
- 30Christian Ibwa Ise
- 33A. Faty
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanga Balende have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; TP Mazembe have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lubumbashi Sport(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | CS Manika(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Malole(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sanga Balende win, 0 draws, 5 TP Mazembe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Sanga Balende 1-2 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2025 | TP Mazembe 3-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sanga Balende 3-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | TP Mazembe 1-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | TP Mazembe 2-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | TP Mazembe 4-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe on Jan 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanga Balende score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; TP Mazembe score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanga Balende | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| TP Mazembe | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sanga Balende | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
A question about Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 61%, against 28% for a draw and 11% for Sanga Balende.
- Where and when is Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe played?
- Sanga Balende vs TP Mazembe is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Kashala Bonzola, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.