TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on February 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 73%, against 21% for a draw and 6% for Saint-Luc. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,591, a 369-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Saint-Luc
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Luc lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Saint-Luc have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Blessing(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Groupe Bazano(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Malole(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 TP Mazembe wins, 0 draws, 0 Saint-Luc wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | TP Mazembe 3-0 Saint-Luc | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Saint-Luc 1-2 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Luc score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Saint-Luc | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 1st in Ligue 1 (73 points from 30 matches) and Saint-Luc sit 10th (35 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 33 | 35 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 73%, against 21% for a draw and 6% for Saint-Luc.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc played?
- TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc is played on February 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.