Match

Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda

SanluqueñoLas Palmas II

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas II?

Las Palmas II starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,752).

Sanluqueño win34 %
Draw30 %
Las Palmas II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Las Palmas II have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanluqueño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Villarreal II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Teruel(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026Algeciras(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Ibiza(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Alcorcon(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Socuéllamos(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Orihuela(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Getafe II(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sanluqueño win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Las Palmas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2021Sanluqueño 0-1 Las Palmas IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 25, 2020Las Palmas II 0-1 SanluqueñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas II on Jan 24, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanluqueño0.51.545/155/15
Las Palmas II1.11.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas II?
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas II played?
Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas II is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sanluqueño and Las Palmas II

Ready to know everything about football?