Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup stage · Matchday 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Alfredo João Krieck, Rio do Sul, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Santa Catarina won 2-1 on September 13, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 61′Henrique CardosoSanta Catarina
- 70′Arafat Al HajMarcílio Dias
- 78′Alex GoncalvesSanta Catarina
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Santa Catarina win at 40%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Catarina have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Marcílio Dias have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nação(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Blumenau(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cascavel(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Metropolitano(away) | 5-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Joinville(home) | 4-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Cascavel(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Cascavel(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Independiente FSJ(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Santa Catarina wins, 1 draw, 1 Marcílio Dias win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Marcílio Dias 0-1 Santa Catarina | Catarinense - 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Santa Catarina 1-1 Marcílio Dias | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Marcílio Dias 3-2 Santa Catarina | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Santa Catarina 2-0 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Santa Catarina 2-1 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marcílio Dias vs Santa Catarina on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Catarina score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marcílio Dias score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Catarina | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Marcílio Dias | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy