Santa Cruz vs Bahia: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on July 28, 2015 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Jóse do Rego Maciel, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Bahia?
Santa Cruz won 3-1 on July 28, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 37′Anderson Angus AquinoSanta Cruz
- 40′ThalesBahia
- 64′LuisinhoSanta Cruz
- 90′LuisinhoSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2015 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2015 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2015 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2015 | CRB(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2015 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2015 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2015 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 12, 2015 | Oeste(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2015 | Paysandu(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2015 | Vitoria(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bahia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy