Santa Cruz vs Frei Paulistano: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa do NordesteGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on February 26, 2020 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Frei Paulistano?
Santa Cruz won 3-1 on February 26, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 54′DidiraSanta Cruz (pen.)
- 57′AcássioFrei Paulistano
- 67′Alyson Nascimento SantosSanta Cruz (o.g.)
- 77′DidiraSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Frei Paulistano have 3, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | Afogados(away) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Central SC(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 13, 2020 | ABC(home) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 11, 2020 | Salgueiro(home) | 2-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-3 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | Lagarto(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Remo(home) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Confiança(home) | 2-4 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 5, 2020 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 2-1 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Frei Paulistano score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Frei Paulistano | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy