Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,763) and Olímpico Totana (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Olímpico Totana have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Santa Cruz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olímpico Totana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Santa Cruz 1-2 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Olímpico Totana 0-0 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (51 points from 34 matches) and Olímpico Totana sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana?
- The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana played?
- Santa Cruz vs Olímpico Totana is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026El PalmarvsÁguilas II
- Sep 13, 2026Los GarresvsSantomera
- Sep 13, 2026SFC MinervavsCartagena LU II
- Sep 13, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsBalsicas Atlético
- Sep 13, 2026Bala AzulvsMazarrón FC
- Sep 13, 2026AlcantarillavsAtlético Pulpileño
- Sep 13, 2026Unión MolinensevsSan Javier
- Sep 13, 2026AlgarvsBullas Deportivo