Match

Santa Cruz vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Santa CruzAlgar

The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Algar. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,316 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Cruz vs Algar?

Santa Cruz starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,524).

79%14%7%
Santa Cruz winDrawAlgar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Santa Cruz vs Algar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Santa Cruz

Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.

Algar

4-3-3
  1. AAdrian Marty
  2. AAlejandro Martin
  3. NNasta
  1. MMichel Vidal
  2. MManuel Rodriguez
  3. SSergio Jiménez
  1. CChiqui
  2. LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
  3. DDani Ruiz
  4. JJuan Gavilánez
  1. GGuillermo Yepes Moreno

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Algar have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Cruz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026SFC Minerva(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 31, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Alcantarilla(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 26, 2026Águilas II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Alcantarilla(home)1-7Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 1, 2026Águilas II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 11, 2026San Javier(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Cruz score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santa Cruz1.50.968/157/15
Algar0.92.517/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Cruz sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (18 points from 9 matches) and Algar sit 16th (6 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Santa Cruz9531161018
16Algar82065166

A question about Santa Cruz vs Algar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs Algar?
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Algar.
Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Algar played?
Santa Cruz vs Algar is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Santa Cruz and Algar

Ready to know everything about football?