Santegidiese vs Maceratese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Santegidiese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santegidiese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Maceratese?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Santegidiese (1,661) and Maceratese (1,620).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Maceratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Maceratese
4-3-3- 9Matteo Colombi
- 16Federico Palmieri
- 15D. Allegretti
- 8Alberto Quadri
- 7L. De Grazia
- 10Gianluca Turchetta
- 14Christian Ventola
- 5D. Marchetti
- 6Filippo Gattari
- 4A. Bondioli
- 22F. Forte
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Maceratese have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Santegidiese wins, 1 draw, 0 Maceratese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese 1-1 Santegidiese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Maceratese vs Santegidiese on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 6; Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/6 | 2/6 |
| Maceratese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (8 points from 7 matches) and Maceratese sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Maceratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Maceratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santegidiese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Maceratese.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Maceratese played?
- Santegidiese vs Maceratese is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.