Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Senigallia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia?
On Elo ratings, Fossombrone has 1,669 points and Vigor Senigallia 1,733.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Vigor Senigallia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fossombrone wins, 5 draws, 1 Vigor Senigallia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 0-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 0-0 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Fossombrone 1-2 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Fossombrone 0-0 Vigor Senigallia | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Vigor Senigallia 2-2 Fossombrone | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Fossombrone 2-2 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fossombrone score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Senigallia score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fossombrone sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 8 matches) and Vigor Senigallia sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia played?
- Fossombrone vs Vigor Senigallia is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.