Santos vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 9, 2014 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Santos vs Bahia?
Santos won 1-0 on October 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 11′Leandro DamiãoSantos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Bahia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Goias(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Figueirense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Gremio(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2014 | Bahia 0-2 Santos | Serie A |
| Nov 14, 2013 | Santos 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Bahia 0-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2012 | Santos 1-3 Bahia | Serie A |
| May 20, 2012 | Bahia 0-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Santos 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy