São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil1st RoundKick-off on March 1, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Primeiro de Maio, São Bernardo do Campo, São Paulo
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What was the result of São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife?
Nautico Recife won 0-1 on March 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′DenílsonNautico Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Bernardo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Nautico Recife have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Ituano(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Botafogo SP(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 5-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Vitoria(away) | 3-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Fluminense PI(home) | 2-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
São Bernardo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Bernardo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy