Avai vs São Bernardo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Avai the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for São Bernardo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avai wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avai vs São Bernardo?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Avai (1,626) and São Bernardo (1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avai vs São Bernardo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avai
4-2-3-1- 18Hyan
- 10Jean Lucas
- 77Zé Ricardo
- 8Luiz Henrique
- 14Daniel Penha
- 95Wenderson
- 3Allyson
- 36DG
- 38Jefferson Maciel
- 22João Vitor Cardoso de Souza
- 94Bruno Ferreira
São Bernardo
5-4-1- 9Felipe Garcia
- 29Pedrinho
- 26Eduardo
- 31Lucas Fernandes
- 14Lucas Lima
- 35Jemerson
- 6Pará
- 90Luizão
- 77Marcão
- 2Rodrigo Ferreira
- 1Alex Alves
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 07:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avai have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; São Bernardo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Botafogo SP(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | CRB(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Avai wins, 1 draw, 0 São Bernardo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | São Bernardo 1-1 Avai | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Avai score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; São Bernardo score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| São Bernardo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avai sit 17th in Serie B (37 points from 35 matches) and São Bernardo sit 11th (49 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 39 | 49 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
A question about Avai vs São Bernardo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avai vs São Bernardo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avai the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for São Bernardo.
- Where and when is Avai vs São Bernardo played?
- Avai vs São Bernardo is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.