São Caetano vs Joinville: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 10Kick-off on July 14, 2012 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
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What was the result of São Caetano vs Joinville?
São Caetano won 1-0 on July 14, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 24′Marcelo Pereira da CostaSão Caetano (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Joinville have 4, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Parana(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2012 | CRB(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 4-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 1, 2012 | BOA(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Parana(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2012 | ASA(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 9; Joinville score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3 | 4/9 | 2/9 |
| Joinville | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy