Vitoria vs Parana: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 10Kick-off on July 11, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Parana?
Vitoria won 4-3 on July 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 23′LeilsonVitoria
- 52′Wendel AlexParana
- 58′Wendel AlexParana
- 68′Léo MoraisVitoria
- 74′Victor RamosVitoria
- 81′MansurVitoria
- 83′Arthur CaíkeParana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Parana have 4, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2012 | ABC(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Avai(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Goias(away) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 9, 2012 | BOA(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2012 | BOA(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Joinville(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 9, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Parana | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy