São Caetano vs Novorizontino: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 29, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
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What was the result of São Caetano vs Novorizontino?
Novorizontino won 0-1 on October 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 45′Felipe RodriguesNovorizontino
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Novorizontino have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2020 | Pelotas(home) | 0-9 | Serie D |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Joinville(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Joinville(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Pelotas(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Oct 12, 2020 | Sao Bento(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | São Luiz(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Caxias(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 14, 2020 | São Luiz(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novorizontino score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Novorizontino | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy