Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 07:10 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fortaleza EC. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
On Elo ratings, Novorizontino has 1,836 points and Fortaleza EC 1,790.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Novorizontino
4-2-3-1- 11Robson
- 6Luis Oyama
- 10Romulo
- 30Nicolas Careca
- 41Reidiney
- 17Matheus Bianqui
- 2Madson
- 3Carlinhos
- 4Patrick
- 5Sander
- 93Jordi
Fortaleza EC
3-4-3- 16Pedro Henrique
- 91Francisco da Costa
- 32Luiz Fernando
- 22Maílton
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 11Vitinho
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
- 23Neris
- 20Jaílson
- 1João Ricardo
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novorizontino have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Fortaleza EC have 6, 9 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 5-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Novorizontino wins, 0 draws, 1 Fortaleza EC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novorizontino score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novorizontino sit 1st in Serie B (67 points from 36 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 5th (62 points from 36 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 31 | 67 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 62 |
A question about Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fortaleza EC.
- Where and when is Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC played?
- Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC is played on November 7, 2026 at 07:10 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.