São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes São Paulo Crystal the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Guarabira. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate São Paulo Crystal (1,583) and Guarabira (1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Paulo Crystal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Guarabira have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 0-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Atlético Cajazeirense(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Serrano PB(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Spartax(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Sabugy(away) | 3-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Atlético Cajazeirense(away) | 2-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Atlético Cajazeirense(home) | 2-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 4-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Cruzeiro PB(away) | 1-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Confianca PB(home) | 0-0 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 São Paulo Crystal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guarabira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Guarabira 2-1 São Paulo Crystal | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Guarabira vs São Paulo Crystal on Aug 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
São Paulo Crystal score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guarabira score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo Crystal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Guarabira | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira?
- The Footlab model makes São Paulo Crystal the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Guarabira.
- Where and when is São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira played?
- São Paulo Crystal vs Guarabira is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.