Sport PB vs Auto Esporte: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Auto Esporte the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sport PB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport PB vs Auto Esporte?
Auto Esporte starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,408).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport PB have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Auto Esporte have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Spartax(home) | 0-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Picuiense(away) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cruzeiro PB(home) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Guarabira(away) | 0-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Queimadense(home) | 2-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Serra Branca(away) | 1-5 | Paraibano |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Nacional de Patos(away) | 1-3 | Paraibano |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Pombal EC(away) | 1-1 | Paraibano |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Picuiense(away) | 2-1 | Paraibano |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EC de Patos(home) | 2-3 | Paraibano |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sport PB win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Auto Esporte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2024 | Auto Esporte 2-1 Sport PB | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Auto Esporte vs Sport PB on Aug 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sport PB score 0.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Auto Esporte score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport PB | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Auto Esporte | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport PB vs Auto Esporte?
- The Footlab model makes Auto Esporte the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sport PB.
- Where and when is Sport PB vs Auto Esporte played?
- Sport PB vs Auto Esporte is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.