São Paulo Crystal vs Spartax: prediction and stats
Paraibano 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, João Pessoa, Paraíba
The Footlab model makes São Paulo Crystal the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Spartax. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São Paulo Crystal vs Spartax?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate São Paulo Crystal (1,583) and Spartax (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Paulo Crystal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Spartax have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Confianca PB(away) | 0-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Atlético Cajazeirense(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Serrano PB(home) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Spartax(away) | 3-0 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Sabugy(away) | 3-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Serrano PB(away) | 1-5 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Sabugy(home) | 3-1 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | São Paulo Crystal(home) | 0-3 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Cruzeiro PB(away) | 0-2 | Paraibano 2 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Queimadense(home) | 4-2 | Paraibano 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 São Paulo Crystal win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Spartax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Spartax 0-3 São Paulo Crystal | Paraibano 2 |
Last archived meeting: Spartax vs São Paulo Crystal on Sep 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
São Paulo Crystal score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spartax score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo Crystal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Spartax | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São Paulo Crystal vs Spartax?
- The Footlab model makes São Paulo Crystal the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Spartax.
- Where and when is São Paulo Crystal vs Spartax played?
- São Paulo Crystal vs Spartax is played on September 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho, in the Paraibano 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.