Sao Tome and Principe vs Equatorial Guinea: result 2-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 7Kick-off on September 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Sao Tome and Principe vs Equatorial Guinea?
Equatorial Guinea won 2-3 on September 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′R. LumungoSao Tome and Principe (pen.)
- 42′R. LumungoSao Tome and Principe (pen.)
- 52′Pablo GanetEquatorial Guinea
- 61′Iban SalvadorEquatorial Guinea
- 69′Jose AdjuguEquatorial Guinea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Tome and Principe have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Equatorial Guinea have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | Liberia(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Liberia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Malawi(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 26, 2024 | South Sudan(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2025 | Cameroon(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Gambia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Namibia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Congo(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sao Tome and Principe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Equatorial Guinea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea 2-0 Sao Tome and Principe | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Tome and Principe score 0.6 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Tome and Principe | 0.6 | 2.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Tome and Principe sit 6th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (3 points from 10 matches) and Equatorial Guinea sit 5th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Equatorial Guinea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 11 |
| 6 | Sao Tome and Principe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy