Sardarapat vs Ararat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ararat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sardarapat wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sardarapat vs Ararat?
Sardarapat starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,482).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sardarapat vs Ararat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sardarapat
4-3-3- 9L. Vardanyan
- 8L. Petrosyan
- 28H. Minasyan
- 77G. Abrahamyan
- 10Y. Budagyan
- 21S. Galstyan
- 4Armen Sargsyan
- 22Sergey Kochkanyan
- 25Christ Yann Lago
- 19J. Quiñonez
- 39G. Matinyan
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 8P. Alekyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 18Malick Berte
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sardarapat have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Ararat have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sardarapat win, 1 draw, 2 Ararat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ararat 1-2 Sardarapat | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ararat 1-1 Sardarapat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ararat 5-1 Sardarapat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Sardarapat 0-3 Ararat | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sardarapat score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardarapat | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 7/15 |
| Ararat | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sardarapat sit 5th in Premier League (12 points from 8 matches) and Ararat sit 8th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sardarapat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Ararat | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Sardarapat vs Ararat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sardarapat vs Ararat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ararat.
- Where and when is Sardarapat vs Ararat played?
- Sardarapat vs Ararat is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.