Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Keçiörengücü wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Sarıyer (1,803) and Keçiörengücü (1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarıyer
4-2-3-1- 90E. Eze
- 10E. Karaca
- 28H. Yeşilyurt
- 8Marcos Silva
- 41F. Gedik
- 14T. Ergül
- 5E. Korkmazoğlu
- 24K. Arslan
- 88C. Osmanpaşa
- 77C. Karayel
- 13I. Šehić
Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1- 55M. Diouf
- 7O. Roshi
- 6E. Develi
- 8I. Karaogul
- 14İ. Akdağ
- 77M. Fofana
- 12M. Keskin
- 3Wellington Nascimento
- 4A. Çelik
- 37D. Aksu
- 1M. Erdoğan
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Keçiörengücü have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 2-4 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Sarıyer wins, 0 draws, 3 Keçiörengücü wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Keçiörengücü 3-0 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sarıyer 3-1 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Keçiörengücü 3-0 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Sarıyer 1-0 Keçiörengücü | 2. Lig |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Keçiörengücü 3-0 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Keçiörengücü score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Keçiörengücü | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 13th in 1. Lig (17 points from 14 matches) and Keçiörengücü sit 6th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 13 | Sarıyer | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?
- The Footlab AI model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sarıyer.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü played?
- Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.