Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aktepe Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Keçiörengücü (1,856) and Sarıyer (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keçiörengücü have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sarıyer have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Keçiörengücü win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sarıyer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sarıyer 3-1 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Keçiörengücü 3-0 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Sarıyer 1-0 Keçiörengücü | 2. Lig |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Keçiörengücü 3-0 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keçiörengücü score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sarıyer score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sarıyer | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keçiörengücü sit 6th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Sarıyer sit 8th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Sarıyer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer?
- The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Sarıyer.
- Where and when is Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer played?
- Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aktepe Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.