Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor: prediction and stats
1. LigMatchday 28Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ümraniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarıyer wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Sarıyer (1,804) and Ümraniyespor (1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarıyer
4-2-3-1- 90E. Eze
- 10E. Karaca
- 28H. Yeşilyurt
- 8Marcos Silva
- 41F. Gedik
- 14T. Ergül
- 5E. Korkmazoğlu
- 24K. Arslan
- 88C. Osmanpaşa
- 77C. Karayel
- 13I. Šehić
Ümraniyespor
4-4-2- 27C. Soukou
- 11Álex Blanco
- 10A. Đokanović
- 8S. Göksu
- 7S. Hostikka
- 12Toheeb Kosoko
- 58M. Kartal
- 88E. Gedik
- 70O. Yıldırım
- 44T. Glumac
- 35C. Topaloğlu
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ümraniyespor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home) | 2-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 4-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sarıyer win, 1 draw, 3 Ümraniyespor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ümraniyespor 1-1 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Sarıyer 1-2 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Ümraniyespor 1-3 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Mar 11, 2016 | Ümraniyespor 1-0 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
| Oct 30, 2015 | Sarıyer 0-2 Ümraniyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ümraniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ümraniyespor | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 13th in 1. Lig (17 points from 14 matches) and Ümraniyespor sit 12th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ümraniyespor | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 13 | Sarıyer | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ümraniyespor.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor played?
- Sarıyer vs Ümraniyespor is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.