Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for İstanbulspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Esenler Erokspor (1,906) and İstanbulspor (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esenler Erokspor have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; İstanbulspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Esenler Erokspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 İstanbulspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | İstanbulspor 1-4 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 5-0 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| May 4, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 0-3 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Jan 5, 2025 | İstanbulspor 4-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Esenler Erokspor 1-2 İstanbulspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esenler Erokspor sit 11th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and İstanbulspor sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for İstanbulspor.
- Where and when is Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor played?
- Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.