Sarnese vs Paganese: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 25Kick-off on February 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Felice Squitieri, Sarno
Full time
What was the result of Sarnese vs Paganese?
Sarnese and Paganese drew 1-1 on February 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′C. FoggiaSarnese
- 23′?Paganese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarnese have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Paganese have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Ferrandina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Manfredonia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Pompei(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Real Acerrana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sarnese win, 0 draws, 3 Paganese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Paganese 2-1 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sarnese 1-0 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Paganese 1-0 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sarnese 1-2 Paganese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarnese score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 0.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarnese | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Paganese | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarnese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone H (41 points from 34 matches) and Paganese sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 41 |
A question about Sarnese vs Paganese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy