Trastevere vs Budoni: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, Roma
The Footlab model makes Trastevere the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Budoni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trastevere vs Budoni?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Trastevere (1,720) and Budoni (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trastevere have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Budoni have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Anzio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olbia(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Valmontone(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trastevere win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Budoni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Trastevere 1-0 Budoni | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Trastevere 2-0 Budoni | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Budoni 0-2 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Budoni 1-2 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Trastevere 0-0 Budoni | Serie D - Girone G |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Trastevere 3-3 Budoni | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Trastevere score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Budoni score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trastevere | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Budoni | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trastevere sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone G (60 points from 34 matches) and Budoni sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trastevere | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 46 | 60 |
| 10 | Budoni | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trastevere vs Budoni?
- The Footlab model makes Trastevere the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Budoni.
- Where and when is Trastevere vs Budoni played?
- Trastevere vs Budoni is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.