Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Niendorfer TSV the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Sasel. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV?
Niendorfer TSV starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Niendorfer TSV have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sasel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Niendorfer TSV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Sasel 3-2 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 4-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 2-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Sasel 2-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Niendorfer TSV 1-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sasel 3-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Niendorfer TSV score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Niendorfer TSV | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Niendorfer TSV sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 75 | 57 | 50 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV?
- The Footlab model makes Niendorfer TSV the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV played?
- Sasel vs Niendorfer TSV is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.