Pinneberg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinneberg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Pinneberg (1,771) and Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Pinneberg have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 4-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HT16(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pinneberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 9-4 Pinneberg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Pinneberg on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pinneberg score 3.2 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 5; Vorwärts-Wacker 04 score 1.5 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinneberg | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
| Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 85 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinneberg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04?
- The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04.
- Where and when is Pinneberg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 played?
- Pinneberg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.