Sasel vs Süderelbe: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Sasel. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Süderelbe?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Sasel (1,796) and Süderelbe (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Süderelbe have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 8, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sasel win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Süderelbe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Sasel 3-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Süderelbe 0-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Süderelbe 2-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Sasel 3-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Süderelbe 3-3 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sasel 3-3 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Süderelbe score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Süderelbe | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Süderelbe sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Süderelbe | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 72 | 64 | 51 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Süderelbe?
- The Footlab model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Süderelbe played?
- Sasel vs Süderelbe is played on April 11, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.