Sasel vs HEBC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes HEBC the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Sasel. The most likely score is 1-1. If HEBC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs HEBC?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sasel (1,772) and HEBC (1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sasel vs HEBC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
HEBC
4-3-3- 15Janek Wrede
- 7Tjorven Bastian Dan Köhler
- 20P. Onnen
- 11Hammed Nawaz
- 8Piet Oldag
- 17Robert Schick
- 33Christopher Grunewald
- 24Julius Emil Stegemann
- 18Jorma Eggers
- 27Lionel Zitzewitz
- 12J. Schoon
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; HEBC have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sasel win, 3 draws, 2 HEBC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | HEBC 1-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sasel 4-4 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Sasel 3-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 6, 2024 | HEBC 2-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HEBC 3-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Sasel 1-2 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; HEBC score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| HEBC | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and HEBC sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
A question about Sasel vs HEBC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs HEBC?
- The Footlab AI model makes HEBC the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Sasel vs HEBC played?
- Sasel vs HEBC is played on April 18, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Vorwärts-Wacker 04vsETSV Hamburg
- Apr 16, 2027Victoria HamburgvsConcordia
- Apr 16, 2027SüderelbevsTus Dassendorf
- Apr 18, 2027PalomavsHarksheide
- Apr 18, 2027HT16vsBuchholz
- Apr 18, 2027PinnebergvsTeutonia Ottensen
- Apr 18, 2027Niendorfer TSVvsAltona 93
- Apr 18, 2027Nikola TeslavsEintracht Norderstedt