Where and when is Sasel vs HEBC played?

Sasel vs HEBC is played on April 18, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sasel vs HEBC: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg

Sasel

HEBC

The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for HEBC. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sasel vs HEBC?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Sasel (1,796) and HEBC (1,755).

Sasel win44 %

Draw21 %

HEBC win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; HEBC have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sasel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Harksheide(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Hamburg
Aug 1, 2026	Altona 93(away)	2-0	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 26, 2026	Buchholz(home)	0-4	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 15, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(away)	0-4	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 10, 2026	HT16(home)	4-6	Oberliga - Hamburg

HEBC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	ETSV Hamburg(away)	3-2	Oberliga - Hamburg
Aug 16, 2026	HT16(home)	0-1	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 31, 2026	Concordia(away)	2-0	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 26, 2026	Niendorfer TSV(home)	0-3	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 15, 2026	Tus Dassendorf(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Hamburg

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sasel win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 HEBC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	HEBC 1-1 Sasel	Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 19, 2025	Sasel 4-4 HEBC	Oberliga - Hamburg
Mar 23, 2025	Sasel 3-1 HEBC	Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 6, 2024	HEBC 2-2 Sasel	Oberliga - Hamburg
Feb 25, 2024	HEBC 3-2 Sasel	Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 13, 2023	Sasel 1-2 HEBC	Oberliga - Hamburg

Last archived meeting: HEBC vs Sasel on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; HEBC score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sasel	2.5	2.4	2	11/15	13/15
HEBC	1.5	1.5	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and HEBC sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Sasel	34	14	8	12	91	88	50
13	HEBC	34	10	8	16	48	66	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sasel vs HEBC?: The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for HEBC.
Where and when is Sasel vs HEBC played?: Sasel vs HEBC is played on April 18, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.