Sasso Marconi Zola vs Desenzano Calvina: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 14Kick-off on November 30, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo G.Carbonchi, Sasso Marconi
Full time
What was the result of Sasso Marconi Zola vs Desenzano Calvina?
Desenzano Calvina won 1-3 on November 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′A. BakayokoDesenzano Calvina
- 17′A. BakayokoDesenzano Calvina
- 74′628894Sasso Marconi Zola
- 84′G. GabbianelliDesenzano Calvina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasso Marconi Zola have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Desenzano Calvina have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lentigione(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Correggese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pro Sesto(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Crema(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Desenzano Calvina score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasso Marconi Zola | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Desenzano Calvina | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasso Marconi Zola sit 14th in Serie D - Girone D (31 points from 33 matches) and Desenzano Calvina sit 1st (77 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 21 | 77 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 45 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy