Match

Sasso Marconi Zola vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Enrico Filippetti, Zola Predosa

Sasso Marconi ZolaGrassina

The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sasso Marconi Zola vs Grassina?

Grassina starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,641).

Sasso Marconi Zola win32 %
Draw30 %
Grassina win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasso Marconi Zola have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sasso Marconi Zola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Imolese(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Progresso(away)1-4Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Imolese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Grassina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2020Aglianese(away)3-3Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020Gavorrano(away)0-2Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020Flaminia(home)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020Cannara(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020Scandicci(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sasso Marconi Zola0.91.438/156/15
Grassina1.51.158/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Grassina?
The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where and when is Sasso Marconi Zola vs Grassina played?
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Grassina is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Enrico Filippetti, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sasso Marconi Zola and Grassina

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