Saumur vs Angoulême: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 25Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab model makes Saumur the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Angoulême. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Angoulême?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Saumur (1,629) and Angoulême (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Angoulême have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Saumur win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Angoulême win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Angoulême 2-2 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Saumur 2-1 Angoulême | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Angoulême 1-2 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Saumur 3-1 Angoulême | National 2 - Group B |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Saumur 0-1 Angoulême | National 2 - Group D |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Angoulême 3-4 Saumur | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Angoulême score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Angoulême | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Angoulême sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Angoulême | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Saumur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Angoulême?
- The Footlab model makes Saumur the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Angoulême.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Angoulême played?
- Saumur vs Angoulême is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.