Saumur vs Lorient II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 23Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab AI model makes Lorient II the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorient II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Lorient II?
Lorient II starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,645).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saumur vs Lorient II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Lorient II
Not enough data to predict the Lorient II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Lorient II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tarbes(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saumur win, 3 draws, 2 Lorient II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saumur 2-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Lorient II 2-2 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Saumur 0-3 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Lorient II 1-1 Saumur | National 2 - Group D |
| Apr 13, 2013 | Saumur 2-3 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Lorient II 1-3 Saumur | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lorient II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (4 points from 6 matches) and Lorient II sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Saumur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Saumur vs Lorient II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Lorient II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorient II the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Lorient II played?
- Saumur vs Lorient II is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.