Pontivy GSI vs Avranches: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 23Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy
The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Avranches. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Avranches?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,740) and Avranches (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Avranches have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Vannes(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Vire(away) | 0-0 | National 3 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ergué-Gaberic(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Granville(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pontivy GSI win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Avranches win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2014 | Pontivy GSI 1-2 Avranches | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Avranches 3-0 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
| Apr 27, 2013 | Avranches 0-3 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Pontivy GSI 3-2 Avranches | National 2 - Group D |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Pontivy GSI 0-0 Avranches | National 2 - Group D |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Avranches 1-1 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Pontivy GSI vs Avranches on Feb 22, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Avranches score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontivy GSI | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Avranches | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontivy GSI sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Avranches sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avranches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pontivy GSI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Avranches?
- The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Avranches.
- Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Avranches played?
- Pontivy GSI vs Avranches is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.