SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, Freital
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate SC Freital (1,799) and Budissa Bautzen (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freital have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Budissa Bautzen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC Freital win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Budissa Bautzen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | SC Freital 4-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | SC Freital 1-2 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 0-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 6, 2023 | SC Freital 3-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freital sit 5th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Budissa Bautzen sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen played?
- SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen is played on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.