SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, Freital
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freital the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,336 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen?
SC Freital starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Freital
Not enough data to predict the SC Freital lineup.
Budissa Bautzen
Not enough data to predict the Budissa Bautzen lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freital have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Budissa Bautzen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Weissenfels(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Krieschow(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | VfL Halle(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 23, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Weissenfels(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC Freital wins, 0 draws, 3 Budissa Bautzen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | SC Freital 4-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | SC Freital 1-2 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 0-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 6, 2023 | SC Freital 3-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Budissa Bautzen vs SC Freital on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freital score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Budissa Bautzen score 1.4 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freital | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freital sit 11th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (6 points from 6 matches) and Budissa Bautzen sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SC Freital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Budissa Bautzen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freital the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen played?
- SC Freital vs Budissa Bautzen is played on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.