SC Freital vs Dresden II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, Freital
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freital the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Dresden II. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freital wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freital vs Dresden II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate SC Freital (1,809) and Dresden II (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Freital vs Dresden II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Freital
Not enough data to predict the SC Freital lineup.
Dresden II
Not enough data to predict the Dresden II lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 11:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freital have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dresden II have 3, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Weissenfels(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Krieschow(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Einheit Wernigerode(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Weissenfels(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Einheit Wernigerode(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 SC Freital wins, 0 draws, 1 Dresden II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II 1-0 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Dresden II vs SC Freital on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freital score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dresden II score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freital | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Dresden II | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freital sit 11th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (6 points from 6 matches) and Dresden II sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dresden II | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | SC Freital | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 6 |
A question about SC Freital vs Dresden II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freital vs Dresden II?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freital the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Dresden II.
- Where and when is SC Freital vs Dresden II played?
- SC Freital vs Dresden II is played on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.