SC Genemuiden vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Wetering, Genemuiden
The Footlab model makes SC Genemuiden the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Genemuiden vs Excelsior '31?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate SC Genemuiden (1,812) and Excelsior '31 (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Genemuiden have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 2-6 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | URK(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | TEC(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Genemuiden win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Excelsior '31 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC Genemuiden 2-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Excelsior '31 1-3 SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 19, 2025 | SC Genemuiden 0-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Excelsior '31 0-4 SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Excelsior '31 1-1 SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2023 | SC Genemuiden 2-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
Last archived meeting: SC Genemuiden vs Excelsior '31 on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Genemuiden score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Genemuiden | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Genemuiden sit 2nd in Derde Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | SC Genemuiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Genemuiden vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab model makes SC Genemuiden the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is SC Genemuiden vs Excelsior '31 played?
- SC Genemuiden vs Excelsior '31 is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Wetering, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.