Match

Achilles Veen vs Gemert: prediction and stats

Derde DivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Hanen Weide, Veen

Achilles VeenGemert

The Footlab model makes Gemert the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Achilles Veen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Achilles Veen vs Gemert?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Achilles Veen (1,722) and Gemert (1,795).

Achilles Veen win36 %
Draw24 %
Gemert win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Achilles Veen have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Gemert have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Achilles Veen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Noordwijk(home)0-4Derde Divisie
Aug 15, 2026FC Lisse(away)1-4Derde Divisie
Aug 5, 2025Kozakken Boys(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 24, 2024Sparta Nijkerk(away)2-4KNVB Beker
Sep 3, 2024Harkemase Boys(home)2-1KNVB Beker
Gemert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GOES(home)2-2Derde Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Rijnvogels(away)2-2Derde Divisie
Jul 7, 2026Helmond Sport(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026GOES(away)3-3Derde Divisie - Sunday
May 16, 2026SteDoCo(home)6-1Derde Divisie - Sunday

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Achilles Veen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gemert win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2020Achilles Veen 2-0 GemertKNVB Beker

Last archived meeting: Achilles Veen vs Gemert on Oct 7, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Achilles Veen score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gemert score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Achilles Veen1.91.556/1510/15
Gemert2.11.6112/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Achilles Veen sit 18th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Gemert sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gemert2020442
18Achilles Veen2002180

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Achilles Veen vs Gemert?
The Footlab model makes Gemert the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Achilles Veen.
Where and when is Achilles Veen vs Gemert played?
Achilles Veen vs Gemert is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Hanen Weide, in the Derde Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Achilles Veen and Gemert

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