Schott Mainz vs Auersmacher: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Auersmacher. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Auersmacher?
Schott Mainz starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Auersmacher have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | Gonsenheim(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Schott Mainz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Auersmacher win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Auersmacher 1-3 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Schott Mainz 4-3 Auersmacher | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 6, 2023 | Auersmacher 1-1 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Schott Mainz 4-2 Auersmacher | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
Last archived meeting: Auersmacher vs Schott Mainz on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Auersmacher score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Auersmacher | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 2nd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (10 points from 4 matches) and Auersmacher sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Auersmacher | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Auersmacher?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Auersmacher.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Auersmacher played?
- Schott Mainz vs Auersmacher is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Wormatia WormsvsTuS Koblenz
- Sep 12, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Sep 12, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsElversberg II
- Sep 12, 2026FV Engers 07vsPirmasens
- Sep 12, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsAhrweiler
- Sep 12, 2026DiefflenvsRW Wittlich
- Sep 12, 2026EisbachtalvsGonsenheim
- Sep 13, 2026MechtersheimvsGau-Odernheim